Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last 6 months, Mannarino has slightly outperformed Rublev in winning points on second serves: Mannarino at 46.79% and Rublev at 45.18%. Could this edge sway the outcome in Mannarino’s favor?
• Looking at return game stats, Mannarino again holds a lead, capturing 47.8% of points against opponents' second serves compared to Rublev's 42.21%. For first serve returns, Mannarino leads with 26.42% to Rublev's 23.27%.
• Under pressure, Rublev shows stronger performance, saving 59.85% of breakpoints, which is superior to Mannarino's 54.46%.
• For overall match wins over the last year, Rublev leads significantly with 58.21% victory rate versus Mannarino's 39.39%.
• Rublev excels on Hard courts with a win percentage of 66%, while Mannarino performs best on Grass at 60%.
• In the past 12 months, Rublev has competed against tougher opponents, average rank being 64.18, as compared to Mannarino’s 159.44 average opponent rank.
• Direct match history favors Rublev as he has won 3 out of 4 encounters against Mannarino, including a decisive win in their last match on Hard court.
• However, Mannarino holds a slight psychological edge in tiebreak and deciding set scenarios, having been more successful in those situations against Rublev in the past.
• In recent form, Rublev converts break point opportunities slightly better at 29.93% compared to Mannarino's 26.29%.

Editorial Prediction (July 4, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match appears to be a closely contested affair between Rublev and Mannarino, each player having demonstrated unique strengths and advantages.

While Mannarino has shown slightly better performance in second serve and return game statistics recently, Rublev holds the upper hand in experience and overall match-winning percentage, especially on Hard courts where the match will take place.

Rublev’s ability to save breakpoints and his performance against higher-ranked opponents indicate a consistent level of play under pressure and conditions of greater challenge.

Although Mannarino has shown resilience in tiebreaks and deciding sets against Rublev, Rublev’s more comprehensive advantages in precision and past head-to-head encounters suggest he is the more likely to emerge the victor in this meeting.